From food placement in grocery stores to the way Facebook curates
newsfeeds, behavioral science is at the core of corporate strategies to
maximize sales and engagement. As understanding of consumer
behavior evolves, energy efficiency companies have also become much more
sophisticated in how they target their efforts.
The so-called
behavioral efficiency approach was pioneered by Opower, which based its
business model off a 2004 study
showing that consumers are more likely to cut energy consumption based
on peer pressure ("normative messages") than in response to
environmental or economic messages.
"For the last five years,
we've been running the largest behavioral science experiment in the
world. And it's working," said Opower CEO Alex Laskey in a TED talk from 2013. Opower has expanded
considerably since it was founded in 2007. But that basic premise --
that consumers will consistently reduce energy when compared to their
neighbors -- still guides the company's new products.
However, as
utilities look for deeper savings beyond the 2 percent reductions that
Opower brings, behavioral cues alone are not enough. Real-time pricing
information is becoming an increasingly important supplement for
efficiency. Notifying consumers about peak pricing changes was the main
reason why Opower's behavioral demand response pilot in Baltimore was effective -- people saw the immediate economic opportunity of reducing consumption.
Given
this evolution, what does the latest behavioral science tell us about
the effectiveness of simple messaging versus economic incentives? This month, a team of researchers released a study
comparing the two different approaches in Japan. They found that moral
suasion (i.e., a polite appeal to morality) was an effective way to
bring short-term energy savings. However, real-time pricing was a far
more effective tool when it came to encouraging long-term changes.
As Japan scrambled to make up for lost nuclear generation after the 2011 Fukushima disaster, energy efficiency turned out to be a very effective tool
for closing the gap. In 2012, three researchers from Boston University,
Kyoto University and the Graduate Research Institute for Policy Studies
started an experiment to explore how consumers were responding to calls
to cut electricity consumption.
They gathered nearly 1,700
Japanese homeowners and put them into three groups: a control group that
got no messaging; a moral suasion group that was politely asked to cut
consumption; and a group that was notified of price surges during peak
hours.
Initially, the researchers found that moral suasion worked
well. Consumers cut their consumption by more than 8 percent during the
first few notifications. But the strategy didn't stick. Consumers
quickly stopped responding to the messages, and energy consumption rose
to match the control group after three days.
The peak pricing
notifications proved far more effective. Consumers with an economic
incentive cut energy use between 14 percent and 17 percent. And those
savings continued even after those consumers stopped getting
notifications about pricing. 'The effect was persistent over
repeated interventions. Economic incentives also resulted in a
habit formation after we withdrew the treatments," write the
researchers.
What does this mean for the way behavioral efficiency programs are designed? It's
not surprising that peak pricing encouraged strong, persistent cuts in
energy consumption. Real-world experience in residential and commercial
demand response proves it works. However, the study does raise questions
about how effective simple behavioral cues are in the long term.
Opower
doesn't use moral suasion -- it uses peer pressure. That's an important
distinction. According to the 2004 study that helped inform Opower's
business model, normative messaging works far better than any other
technique.
But this research suggests that behavioral cues alone
may not be enough. If utilities and efficiency providers are going to
get beyond incremental savings, economic signals will be needed to
sustain engagement over time.
http://theenergycollective.com/stephenlacey/2189811/money-versus-morals-why-economic-rewards-trump-polite-messaging-efficiency
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