Saturday, 1 September 2012

PV system values: Solar energy needs electrical storage now


Why Storage 

In 2002 the California Energy Commission Public Interest Energy Research (CEC PIER) funded an investigation into the value of electrical storage combined with PV by Dr. Richard Perez of the State University of New York Albany. This work was intended to address the intermittency associated with PV technology.  Intermittency is the reduction of solar output caused by the movement of clouds over PV modules. Dr. Perez came up with the term Solar Load Control (SLC).
A small amount of electrical storage has great value for grid-tied PV. For commercial buildings with PV, small amounts of storage can ensure a demand reduction value on the utility bill (a similar demand reduction can be obtained from energy management systems turning off non-essential equipment). A small amount of deployable electrical storage or a demand reduction strategy can provide more value to the PV system owner and the utility. 
At the time, this research concluded that when extrapolating solar load control utility-wide, 104 MW of direct load control provided a firm 249 MW peak reduction from PV (see Figure 1 below). In collaboration with Tom Hoff of Clean Power Research, Dr. Perez has also shown that intermittency of less than 15 minutes can be minimized with a portfolio of PV systems dispersed geographically within a 10 km X 10 km area.

                    
Figure 1: In the ideal situation at left, peak load is reduced by the full installed PV capacity with no disruption from clouds. PV output may be reduced before the end of peak period because of clouds, reducing the achievable demand reduction (middle). By shedding load in response to the reduced PV output due to clouds, the solar load control restores the full demand reduction (right). 

The CEC PIER funded two PV demand reduction research and development projects during the same time period as the studies on load control.  One project developed the ability for an inverter to dispatch stored electrical energy in batteries upon a signal. The other project deployed a two-axis PV tracker system to supply power directly to irrigation pumps — upon a signal the pumps would be turned off, thus sending all PV electricity as peak electrical production to the utility if necessary. These projects had challenges regarding the signal, the security of the signal and who owned the signal. (Dispatchable techniques will be discussed in Part II.)
Ten years later, this CEC PIER PV research and development work is proving to be quite valuable to address intermittency concerns for large penetration of PV technologies at the utility level. Lower costs for electrical storage technologies due to increased interest in hybrid and electric vehicles are driving the cost-effective economics of PV with electrical storage.
Utilities are investigating various strategies to levelize the electrical production from PV and wind including smart grid, energy storage, microgrids and more.  The following is a resource glossary to help the reader navigate the confusing nomenclature of energy storage: Direct Load Control (DLC), Demand Response (DR), Demand Side Management (DSM), Distributed Energy Storage System (DESS), Dynamic Demand Control (DDC), Grid to Vehicle (G2V), Vehicle to Grid (V2G), Variable Energy Resources (VER), Critical Peak Pricing (CPP), Critical Peak-time Rebate (CPR), Advanced Metering Infrastructure (AMI), Real-time Pricing (RTP), Time of Use (TOU), and Day Ahead Demand Response Program (DADRP). 

Today’s Storage Costs

At Intersolar 2012 SMUD reported that certain storage technology appears to be below the $400/kWh threshold for cost-effective utility storage. Driven by plug-in hybrid and electric vehicles (PHEV), future stationary applications, like lithium-ion storage, promise to be under $400 per kilowatt hour ($/kWh) including balance of plant costs for power electronics and utility interconnection.
Different energy storage technologies and their current costs broken out by system size have been presented by the Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI) and are shown in Figure 2. Figure 2 shows the installed capacity costs in dollars per kilowatt ($/kW). The difference between $/kW and $/kWh includes the amount of time the storage is used over the system lifetime including all costs. These costs are constantly being lowered, with correspondingly higher and higher values being discovered by the utilities.

                
Figure 2:  Summary of installed energy storage system costs in $/kW by size and type. (Courtesy of EPRI, Source: EPRI 2011 Energy Storage Cost Data Base; EPRI 2012 Energy Storage Cost Benchmarking Report. Estimates are in 2012 dollars and do not reflect regional cost differences across the US. Not all applications and technology options are represented. Site specific and application specific costs can vary significantly.)

Research Driving Storage Costs Even Lower

New federally funded research promises to reduce the levelized cost of electrical storage technology. The Advanced Research Projects Agency-Energy (ARPA-E) recently announced awards for projects that are designed to reduce storage technology costs, including: Ford’s High Precision Life Testing of Automotive and Grid Storage Batteries; ITN Energy System’s Advanced Vanadium Redox Flow Battery, Energy Storage System’s Iron Flow Battery, TVN’s Hydrogen-Bromine Electrical Energy Storage System, Materials & Systems Research’s Advanced Sodium Battery, and a slue of other battery projects including sensor, temperature regulation, energy management and other promising cost-effective solutions.
The Department of Energy (DOE) is also currently funding various smart grid and energy storage solutions for PV projects. On September 1, 2011, the DOE SunShot Initiative announced the selection of eight projects under the Solar Energy Grid Integration Systems – Advanced Concepts (SEGIS-AC) program to receive $25.9 million in total funding. The awardees included:
  • Advanced Energy will develop, demonstrate, and commercialize ramp control by using energy storage, islanding detection, and synchrophasor technologies
  • Alencon will develop, demonstrate, and commercialize a drastically cost-reduced PV system with a centralized inverter system
  • Delphi will develop and demonstrate a modular, cascaded, multilevel PV inverter architecture to lower manufacturing costs
  • EPRI will develop, implement, and demonstrate smart-grid ready PV inverters with grid support functionality, utility communication, and control link.
  • GE Global Research will demonstrate a systems-level cost reduction approach for the module-embedded PV microinverter
  • Satcon will develop and demonstrate a PV inverter control architecture with automatic voltage control capabilities
  • SolarBridge will develop an innovative PV alternating current (AC) module that consists of an integrated “universal dock” with high-reliability
  • University of Hawaii will develop and demonstrate utility-controlled, smart grid-enabled residential PV inverters at two widely different utilities.
Cost-effective PV systems began in space in the late 1950’s, which were used in remote off-grid systems and by the telecommunications industry. When net metering arrived in the late 1990’s, large amounts of PV became grid-tied. Some grid-tied systems included battery back ups in the late 1990’s to early 2000’s, partially due to confusion regarding reliability of the grid and PV. Since then, most grid-tied PV does not include battery back up except for survivalist or critical load concerns.
Utility interest for increased capacity from PV, and the corresponding interest in electrical storage, is being driven by intermittency, green house gas (GHG) regulations, sustainable energy goals, planning for PHEV customers, renewable energy portfolio standard (RPS) compliance, distribution system capacity, and utility peak load management concerns. Increased utility scale capacity from both wind and solar come with technology specific challenges that are also driving interest in electrical storage including:
In the wind sector, many analysts have concerns about the reliability of forecasting, concerns about ramp rates, off-peak production times, and have a perception about unpredictable production during peak demand periods.
In solar, analysts believe that it has a peak period that is generally 4 to 5 hours before the utility peak period, and also have concerns about ramp rates.
The Sacramento Municipal Utility District (SMUD) is now researching PV storage technology with pilot projects. At Intersolar 2012 SMUD reported that on top of their existing generating capacity of 3,300 MW, they are interested in 500 to 800 new MW of PV in the next five years. At these large capacity levels, it will not be acceptable for clouds to minimize energy production, therefore SMUD is moving forward with pilot projects including residential PV and electrical storage, utility sited PV with storage, a residential energy smart community project, solar EV charge port with storage, and a microgrid with energy storage demonstration project. (REWorld has previously written about SMUD energy storage activities here: “Utility Works to Unlock Smart-Grid Potential of Solar-Storage.")
In addition to the utility factors driving the need for storage, new applications and benefits of storage have been identified and investigated including central storage, distributed storage and location specific storage. Some of the benefits from these various applications are listed in Figure 3 provided by Jim Eyer of Strategen Consulting.

                
Figure 3: Various benefits of storage by sector. Courtesy of Jim Eyer of Strategen Consulting. 

The value of storage in comparison to the cost of storage at $400/kWh are reflected in Figure 4 below. Transmission distribution deferral and aggregation values are clearly already above the $400/kWh threshold. When adding up all these values, storage combined with PV is now providing economic incentives to the utility.

                   
Figure 4: Values of storage per application, courtesy of SMUD, July 9th 2012 Intersolar presentation by Mark Rawson, originally attributable to EPRI
 
As the cost of PV continues to fall, it increasingly is becoming a generating resource to utilities. Electrical storage has been proven cost effective in hybrid electric vehicles, off-grid PV systems, and is now being investigated in utilities that have large portfolios of wind and solar technologies.
Cost-effective electrical storage technologies driven by research and development is increasing the value and market for PV across the nation. These storage approaches are expanding the grid-tied market and address utility concerns that include intermittency, capacity and other policy-driven goals. Researchers should now investigate the value of retrofitting storage on PV systems, if utilities can benefit and if PV inverter companies can include dispatchable electrical storage options in future products. If trends continue, we will be seeing lots of PV combined with electrical storage in the near future.

http://www.renewableenergyworld.com/rea/news/article/2012/08/electrical-storage-for-solar-energy-now-part-1?page=2

No comments: