The nascent state-led bailout of China's struggling solar industry
has taken another step forward with word that LDK (NYSE: LDK) has just
sold a big chunk of itself to a partly state-owned consortium for enough
cash to perhaps fund its operations for another month or 2. This new
rescue package values LDK at just $140 million, which is probably still
too high a figure for one of China's weakest solar panel makers in an
industry where everyone losing big money due to a huge supply glut.
Let's take a closer look at this latest announcement from LDK, which says it will issue new shares and sell them to an entity called Heng Rui Xin Energy, a consortium that includes a state-run entity as one of its major members. Other media are reporting the sale will give Heng Rui about 16.6 percent of LDK's total shares for a price of about $23 million.
I'm not a mathematician, but even I know that $23 million is a tiny sum for a company like LDK that is losing hundreds of millions of dollars every quarter, as it scrambles to close to down production lines and lay off employees to conserve cash. The amount is even less than the $32 million emergency government loan received last month by Suntech (NYSE: STP), a relatively stronger player that is facing both a cash shortage and also a major debt repayment that is coming due early next year.
Both the Suntech and now the LDK cash infusions are short-term first-aid measures that will help the companies finance their operations for the next month or 2. But clearly a longer term solution is needed to clean up the mess that has become China's once-promising solar panel manufacturing sector. Ironically, such an overhaul could easily leave many companies' publicly traded shares as worthless, meaning emergency investors like Heng Rui Xin may be get back little or no return for their investments.
Media previously hinted that the needed overhaul could be coming soon in a rescue package being assembled by China Development Bank, a state-owned policy lender that would provide financing for about a dozen of the industry's biggest players. Now media have also reported over the weekend that the government is currently crafting a more comprehensive plan to salvage the industry.
That plan will including a 2-pronged approach, including measures to force consolidation and also to speed up the building of new solar power plants to give the remaining players more business. A crucial piece of the plan will call on State Grid, operator of China's national power grid, to assume most of the costs for connecting new solar power plants to the national grid. Those costs are typically quite high, especially because many solar plants are located in remote areas of China such as interior Qinghai and Xinjiang provinces, which have the most desert-like conditions.
At the end of the day, this comprehensive plan is what the industry really needs before it can move forward, and any new funds like the ones just received by LDK will only be temporary stop-gap measures. Look for a few more similar short-term solutions through the rest of the year as other players seek money to continue funding their operations, and for announcement of a more comprehensive rescue plan perhaps as early as the end of the year.
Bottom line: LDK's new share sale marks the acceleration of a state-led bail-out for China's solar panel makers, with a more comprehensive rescue plan likely as soon as year-end.
This blog was originally published on Young's China Business Blog and was republished with permission.
http://www.renewableenergyworld.com/rea/blog/post/2012/10/ldk-joins-china-state-led-solar-bail-out
Let's take a closer look at this latest announcement from LDK, which says it will issue new shares and sell them to an entity called Heng Rui Xin Energy, a consortium that includes a state-run entity as one of its major members. Other media are reporting the sale will give Heng Rui about 16.6 percent of LDK's total shares for a price of about $23 million.
I'm not a mathematician, but even I know that $23 million is a tiny sum for a company like LDK that is losing hundreds of millions of dollars every quarter, as it scrambles to close to down production lines and lay off employees to conserve cash. The amount is even less than the $32 million emergency government loan received last month by Suntech (NYSE: STP), a relatively stronger player that is facing both a cash shortage and also a major debt repayment that is coming due early next year.
Both the Suntech and now the LDK cash infusions are short-term first-aid measures that will help the companies finance their operations for the next month or 2. But clearly a longer term solution is needed to clean up the mess that has become China's once-promising solar panel manufacturing sector. Ironically, such an overhaul could easily leave many companies' publicly traded shares as worthless, meaning emergency investors like Heng Rui Xin may be get back little or no return for their investments.
Media previously hinted that the needed overhaul could be coming soon in a rescue package being assembled by China Development Bank, a state-owned policy lender that would provide financing for about a dozen of the industry's biggest players. Now media have also reported over the weekend that the government is currently crafting a more comprehensive plan to salvage the industry.
That plan will including a 2-pronged approach, including measures to force consolidation and also to speed up the building of new solar power plants to give the remaining players more business. A crucial piece of the plan will call on State Grid, operator of China's national power grid, to assume most of the costs for connecting new solar power plants to the national grid. Those costs are typically quite high, especially because many solar plants are located in remote areas of China such as interior Qinghai and Xinjiang provinces, which have the most desert-like conditions.
At the end of the day, this comprehensive plan is what the industry really needs before it can move forward, and any new funds like the ones just received by LDK will only be temporary stop-gap measures. Look for a few more similar short-term solutions through the rest of the year as other players seek money to continue funding their operations, and for announcement of a more comprehensive rescue plan perhaps as early as the end of the year.
Bottom line: LDK's new share sale marks the acceleration of a state-led bail-out for China's solar panel makers, with a more comprehensive rescue plan likely as soon as year-end.
This blog was originally published on Young's China Business Blog and was republished with permission.
http://www.renewableenergyworld.com/rea/blog/post/2012/10/ldk-joins-china-state-led-solar-bail-out
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