TOKYO --
Nissan Motor Co. Chief Executive Officer Carlos Ghosn said consumers
won’t take to fuel-cell vehicles before the decade’s end, joining Tesla
Motors Inc.’s Elon Musk in questioning the future of hydrogen-powered
cars.
Such vehicles only have a few locations to refuel
and the required infrastructure would be prohibitive to build, according
to Ghosn, echoing similar comments by Musk last month. Nissan is
pushing back its plans for fuel-cell cars as the same issue that has
dogged electric vehicles will also work against hydrogen cars, with
consumers waiting for facilities to be built and investors wanting the
cars to be more widespread, Ghosn said at the Tokyo Motor Show
yesterday.
“I would be very curious and interested to see
competitors who say they are going to mass market the car in 2015,” said
Ghosn, an early proponent of electric vehicles who also heads Renault
SA. “Where is the infrastructure? Who’s going to build it?”
Automakers from Toyota Motor Corp. to General Motors
Co. have invested in fuel-cell technology as an alternative to electric
vehicles, which have been dogged by concerns including cost, safety,
limited range and access to recharging facilities. Tesla, under U.S.
scrutiny for vehicle-fire risk, said this week that it made an
adjustment to its Model S sedan to reduce the risk of battery packs
being punctured and catching fire after hitting objects in the road.
Not Workable
Musk said in Munich in October that there’s “no way”
that fuel-cell vehicles will be a workable technology. Fuel cells are
too complex, too costly and not clean enough, since most hydrogen is
generated from natural gas, he said.
Tesla competes for resources with hydrogen cars in the
form of government subsidies for rebates, fueling infrastructure and
green-car credits that have made the company profitable this year.
Musk wasn’t present at the Tokyo Motor Show, where
Tesla was participating for the first time. The Palo Alto, California-
based automaker said yesterday that it plans to start delivering the
Model S sedan in Japan in the spring of next year. Both Toyota and Honda Motor Co. have said they plan to
sell hydrogen-powered cars by 2015. Ghosn said he thinks the technology
won’t be ready until at least 2020.
Toyota, Honda
Toyota, the world’s largest automaker, is working on
fuel- cell vehicle research with Bayerische Motoren Werke AG. The Toyota
City, Japan-based carmaker is displaying a concept version of a
hydrogen-powered car at the Tokyo show. “Five years on, we don’t think there’ll be any
dominant technology but various different green technologies,” said
Satoshi Ogiso, a managing officer at Toyota. “For Toyota, we try to be
prepared for any kind of demand that’s expected to arise.”
Honda and GM signed a pact this year to work on the
technology, while Renault and Nissan are partnering with Daimler AG and
Ford Motor Co. to develop hydrogen cars. Separately, Ghosn said the Nissan-Renault alliance
will miss its target to sell 1.5 million electric vehicles by 2016. The
automakers, which have sold about 120,000 EVs to date, will probably
take an extra “two or three years” to reach the target than previously
expected, he said.
“2016 was optimistic? Yes, obviously, we are already
practically in 2014, we know what are the volumes,” said Ghosn. “We
continue to believe that electric cars are going to the major component
of the car industry.”
For next year, Ghosn said he expects the global car
market to expand by 2 percent to 3 percent, and for major markets except
Japan to grow. Europe should see “some growth” as the economy
stabilizes, while demand in India and Brazil should rebound, he said.
Copyright 2013 Bloomberg
http://www.renewableenergyworld.com/rea/news/article/2013/11/ghosn-and-musk-question-viability-of-hydrogen-vehicles
No comments:
Post a Comment