Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration, Annual Energy Outlook 2015 (interactive table viewer)
Projections in EIA's Annual Energy Outlook 2015
(AEO2015), released April 14, show the potential to eliminate net U.S.
energy imports sometime between 2020 and 2030. This reflects changes in
both supply and demand, as continued growth in oil and natural gas
production and the use of renewables combine with demand-side
efficiencies to moderate demand growth. The United States has been a net
importer of energy since the 1950s.
The United States is
currently an exporter of petroleum products and coal, but an importer of
natural gas and crude oil. When the energy content of these fuels is
combined, the United States in 2014 imported 23.3 quadrillion British
thermal units (Btu) of energy and exported 12.2 quadrillion Btu.
Projections in EIA's recently released AEO2015 show that, on an energy
content basis, U.S. energy imports and exports could come into balance
in coming years.
The timing of the projected end to U.S. net
energy imports depends on assumptions about oil prices, energy
resources, and economic growth. In the AEO2015 Reference case, imports
and exports are balanced starting in 2028. In other cases, such as the
High Oil Price and High Oil and Gas Resource cases, the United States
becomes a net exporter of energy in 2019. However, in the Low Oil Price
case, the United States remains a net energy importer through 2040.
In
most of these cases, natural gas is the dominant U.S. energy export,
while crude oil and liquid fuels continue to be imported. In all cases,
the United States transitions from a net importer of natural gas to a
net exporter in 2017. These natural gas exports are mostly sent by
pipeline to Mexico or in the form of liquefied natural gas (LNG) to
other countries.
The United States continues to be a net importer
of crude oil and liquid fuels in most cases, despite increases in
exports of petroleum products. Net trade in coal and other energy
commodities is relatively unchanged.
These changes in energy trade
are anticipated based on both increases in domestic
production—especially crude oil and natural gas—and more moderate
expectations of demand growth. Subsequent articles will provide more
information on these supply and demand projections.
Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration, Annual Energy Outlook 2015 (interactive table viewer). Note: Other
includes net imports of coal coke and electricity. Liquid fuels include
finished petroleum products, unfinished oils, alcohols, ethers,
blending components, and renewable fuels such as ethanol.
Principal contributor: EIA Staff
http://theenergycollective.com/todayinenergy/2217686/us-energy-imports-and-exports-come-balance-first-time-1950s
No comments:
Post a Comment