A little over a year since first announcing an energy
partnership with Cairo, Cyprus moved to clarify the two countries’ new
collaboration with talks last week.
However, while a new agreement is
expected to spur technology sharing, sales and joint exploration, both
sides of the effort face obstacles ahead. According to Egyptian press reports, the talks yielded an agreement to
share information about any offshore discoveries within 10km of the two
countries’ maritime borders. The agreement builds on earlier efforts to
establish technology sharing and the possibility of establishing a
downstream role in Egypt for Cypriot reserves, including refining and
Liquified Natural Gas options.
Cyprus has explored their own LNG options with proposals
for a domestic facility that would deal with both their own reserves and
possibly those from Israel, though the project’s high cost remains an
obstacle for the cash-strapped country. As reported last year, Egypt may
view this partnership as potential path into a regional energy boom
they’ve been locked out of until now. The Eastern Mediterranean’s
substantial offshore promise has brought about promises for exploration
and production action over the last few years, but only Cyprus and
Israel have made real progress towards exploiting the reserves and a
lucrative export market. Efforts by Lebanon to launch their own
exploration and production efforts have been delayed again and again due
to a lack of political consensus on licensing.
While the new talks offer a point of entry for Egypt into
the broader regional energy scene, they do not appear to include an
option for Cairo to import Israeli gas by way of Cyprus. Despite earlier reports
suggesting that Cyprus could play a role in establishing a trade route
between Israel – who recently decided to reserve 40 percent of their gas
for exports – and Egypt, the country’s leadership does not appear to be
interested.
Instead, Cairo has insisted that purchases will come only
from Cyprus. This approach is complicated by the fact that Cyprus does
not expect to see its first gas for several years, while Israel’s
offshore extraction has already begun. While Egypt has not yet ruled out
direct purchases from Israel, the two countries have had recent
difficulties when it comes to energy trade.
Once the provider of a third of Israel’s natural gas, Egyptian
eastbound exports were halted following the collapse of the Mubarak
government due to a rash of pipeline attacks and allegations of
corruption surrounding long term sales. Now facing a daunting $6 billion
energy sector debt, as well as substantial domestic shortages, Egypt
has been forced to explore new import options, with neighboring Israel
being the most obvious choice. However, it is still unclear whether such
a deal would be politically feasible.
http://www.forbes.com/sites/christophercoats/2013/12/20/cyprus-expands-energy-middle-man-role-with-egyptian-talks/?ss=business%3Aenergy
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