“The physician must be able to tell the antecedents, know the
present, and foretell the future — must mediate these things, and have
two special objects in view with regard to disease, namely, to do good
or to do no harm.” Hippocrates.
He said this in Of the Epidemics written in 400 B.C.E as opposed to the Hippocratic Oath to which it is more widely attributed. Regardless
of its origin, “to do good or to do no harm” is an excellent maxim to
follow with respect to the production and use of energy, which is
fundamental to the quality of modern life, or for that matter virtually
any enterprise.
Increasingly it is becoming clear that in our
extraction, production, transportation and utilization of existing
energy sources that are in the main finite we are doing considerable
harm to our environment.
As the following Wikipedia diagram shows
our renewable energy options are extensive and our global consumption
modest by comparison. Even if we were to quadruple our current
consumption in order to provide all 10 billion people on the planet by
2050 the level of energy prosperity we in the developed world are used
to.
Clearly solar power is the most abundant. As Wikipedia points out, almost all of our energy comes from the Sun; the exceptions being tidal, nuclear and geothermal power. Wind
comes from the uneven heating of the earth's surface, and can provide
about 1% of the energy that is available from solar power.
Solar
power is more predictable than wind but more variable considering it is
not available at night and limited by cloud cover. Nevertheless the
Scientific American article A Path to Sustainable Energy By 2030 suggests that at least 580 TW of solar power can be produced. Thermal energy and pumped energy storage have been suggested as ways to overcome the intermittence of wind and solar.
Global
warming is the most significant consequence of current energy use and
as the following graphic indicates is a problem of thermal energy
storage, mostly in the world’s oceans.
Logic
dictates therefore that it is this excess energy that we should be
depleting by putting it to productive use or at least moving to a
location where it can do the least damage. The consequence of
upper ocean heat storage are; thermal expansion and sea level rise, the
melting of polar icecaps leading to more sea level rise, increased
concentrations of water vapour in the atmosphere, which arguably leads
to more intense storms, and potentially catastrophic temperature
increases of as much as 4oC by the end of this century.
We
can do good for the planet by converting some of the upper ocean energy
to at least as much power as we derive from fossil fuels by the process
of ocean thermal energy conversion and in the process move about 20
times more heat into the deep ocean that has both a great capacity to
absorb heat as well as a coefficient of expansion less than at the
surface. Not only is sea level rise reduced as a consequence so too is
the intensity and possibly the frequency of tropical storms. In his 2006 State of the Union Address, George W. Bush stated, “America is addicted to oil.”
All addictions are destructive.
A
pledge to stay sober for today is a common refrain amongst addicts. The
rationale is; if I stay sober today, I don't have to drink for the rest
of my life because it's always today. Getting off fossil fuels
will not be easy. Weaning ourselves day by day is the only way we will
get to where we need to be but for every terawatt we get rid we will
have to find two to four times as many terawatts from sustainable
sources.
Energy is hugely important as is its impact on the next nine most significant problems we face.
There
are not however that many ways to do good while producing energy so we
must start maximizing the impact of those that are available to us as
rapidly as possible. It is long past time we took the pledge to do good AND do no harm as we produce and use the energy we need!
http://theenergycollective.com/jim-baird/325411/energy-oath
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