The Innovation Imperative
The majority of today’s nuclear fleet will complete their
tenure within the coming decades. As it does so, categorically
dismissing nuclear energy technology means abandoning 50 years of
collective experience, just as the world’s demand for energy has never
been greater – and coal-based. We believe that nuclear technologies are
currently evolving in the direction of increased simplicity and safety,
and by doing so nuclear energy has the potential to overcome traditional
shortfalls of highly uncertain costs and unknown risks.
The uneven history of nuclear energy, especially in the
United States, has been due in large part to the growing pains of a new
industry combined with those of a new nuclear regulator. The
development and maturation of nuclear regulatory requirements led to
design changes in nuclear plants, which were often conceived and
implemented “on the fly”, because they occurred after construction of a
plant had already begun. These design changes commonly took the form of
increased numbers and types of backup systems, increasing the
complexity of nuclear power plants. The result of these growing pains
was an immense escalation in nuclear costs and construction schedules,
which was further compounded by an attempt to build larger and larger
plants to generate economies of scale.
Countries such as France,
Japan, and Korea were able to learn from the U.S. example and avoid many
of these growing pains, allowing their nuclear programs to be far more
successful at keeping costs low and construction schedules short.
Nevertheless, the legacy of this initial expansion of nuclear energy in
the ‘60s and ‘70s has been nuclear energy systems that are massive,
complex, and with uncertain safety, as highlighted most recently by the
March 2011 nuclear accident at Fukushima. Today, technological
innovation has the opportunity to reverse this legacy, through the
development of simpler nuclear systems that are available in many sizes
and hold much stronger claims to safety.
Of the many innovative technologies currently under
development and deployment, four categories of them are highlighted
here: advanced light water reactors, low pressure coolants, breeder
reactors, and small modular reactors. Each of these technologies has
the potential to allow nuclear reactors to play a greater role in
supplying energy that is pollution free, carbon free, and fully
sustainable.
The first set of technologies, advanced light water
reactors, are also referred to as Generation III and Generation III+
reactors. These systems, perhaps the best known of which is the U.S.
designed Westinghouse AP-1000, represent a shift toward simpler and more
reliable safety systems than used in previous reactors. They place
greater reliance on “passive” systems that require no external power or
pumping to operate, and instead use natural forces such as gravity,
buoyancy, and heat conduction.
These advanced light water reactor designs build on the
accumulated experience from the previous generation of reactors, and
take advantage of new probabilistic risk assessment techniques that show
which design choices make the greatest contributions to safety.
Because of their use of simpler passive systems, the probability of a
core-damaging accident occurring is estimated to be one hundred times
less likely in this newest generation of reactors. Perhaps more
importantly, these new reactors are designed to automatically remain
safe without any operator action or sources of external power, which
makes them much better safeguarded against events such as major natural
disasters.
Advanced light water reactor designs are currently being
built for commercial operation both in the U.S. and around the world.
Meanwhile, new reactor designs based on low-pressure coolants are being
actively developed. These reactors are part of a group of Generation
IV reactor designs, which use new technologies to try and improve the
safety, sustainability, cost, and proliferation resistance of nuclear
energy.
Unlike water-cooled reactors which must operate under
pressure in order to reach high enough temperatures, low-pressure
reactors use coolants such as liquid metal and liquid salt which remain
liquid even at very high temperatures. Operating at low pressure has
two advantages: first, it becomes much less likely for a leak to cause
coolant to be lost, and second, it is easier to remove heat from
low-pressure liquid coolant than from high-pressure boiling water. The
result is that these low-pressure reactors can be designed to be even
simpler than light water reactors for a given level of safety, improving
their cost and reliability.
Major efforts to develop and deploy these reactors are
proceeding around the world, including sodium-cooled reactor projects in
the U.S., France, and Korea, and salt-cooled reactor projects in the
U.S. and in China. The U.S. in particular is well positioned to take
the lead in development of such systems, due to the depth and diversity
of its nuclear energy experience, and the strength of its national labs,
universities, and private enterprise.
Two more categories of nuclear technologies are worth
mentioning: small modular reactors (SMRs) and breeder reactors. Both
are classes of nuclear systems that are under active development and
offer distinct benefits. Breeder reactors are reactors that can convert
abundant non-fissile isotopes of uranium and thorium into usable fuel,
allowing several hundred times more energy to be extracted from uranium
and thorium resources, which makes them important for sustainability
over very long timescales. SMRs are smaller-sized reactors (typically
under 300 MW electric) that are important for several markets:
economies with low load growth like the U.S., and emerging or remote
markets with poor grid capacities.
While the economic competitiveness of SMRs has yet to be
demonstrated, potential advantages include increased simplicity due to
lower power ratings, reduced project costs and durations, as well as
reduced uncertainties in cost and construction time due to a greater
degree of factory fabrication. Advanced safety characteristics mean that
SMRS can also be sited on decommissioned coal plants sites, greatly
streamlining the grid connection process and obviating the need for new
transmission upgrades elsewhere in the system. As a result, SMRs are
attracting major attention from government and industry, for example
with the U.S. DOE program offering technical and financial support for
developing, licensing, and deploying SMRs. With federal support, the
Tennessee Valley Authority (TVA) contracted the purchase of up to six
180MW mPower SMRs over the next decade from Babcock and Wilcox Company.
With the exception of advanced light water reactors and
low-pressure reactors, which use different coolants, none of the above
technologies is mutually exclusive. This means that one can have an
advanced light water reactor that is also an SMR, or an SMR that is also
a low-pressure breeder reactor. Each of these combinations has a wide
range of technical options associated with it, representing a space of
relatively unexplored ideas that is enormous in size. It is
particularly within this space where nuclear energy has the opportunity
to improve upon its historical legacy and provide an improved
alternative to increased consumption of fossil fuels.
Carbon is the Enemy
We hold no reservations in saying that nuclear power has
and will have drawbacks. Moreover, scientists, regulators, and investors
alike have made mistakes protecting public interests – in some cases,
tragic mistakes, which have rightly shaken public trust in the energy
industry. History teaches us that as fallacious — and in some cases,
malicious — as technology forecasting can be, equally dangerous is
ludditism. Categorically dismissing nuclear technologies assumes that
unlike all other energy technologies, nuclear cannot evolve with
ever-changing market, safety, and other priorities. Yesterday’s nuclear
power might be ill-suited for tomorrow, but the nuclear energy story is
far from over.
Climate change means that carbon is the enemy. We do not
believe that the promise of nuclear power comes at the exclusion or
underestimation of the immense contributions that renewables and/or
other low-carbon technologies will make to our common energy future.
Just as innovation continues to shatter renewables’ unfortunate legacy
as expensive and impractical energy technologies, the same is happening
for nuclear technologies. We should celebrate the hard-fought expansions
of our low-carbon energy toolbox while vigilantly adding to it.
http://www.energytrendsinsider.com/2013/10/10/the-nuclear-future-and-the-changing-technology/
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